USA
High / medium confidence inputs
US$0
0.888b/day
Direct military burn rate based on the reported first 100 hours estimate, plus visible consumer fuel pressure.
Conflict cost visualisation
War on Iran cost signal dashboard
Live
Day 0.00 of 60
UTC now
Modelled cumulative cost
US$
0
Continuous scenario accumulation across direct U.S. cost, Iran economic loss, and wider global spillover, calculated from 28 February 2026 to the live UTC time.
Current daily model
US$0.00b/day
Start date
28 Feb 2026 00:00 UTC
Live UTC
00:00:00
Iran
Scenario model
US$0
0.540b/day
Scenario estimate for export loss, infrastructure disruption, logistics damage, and business interruption.
Rest of world
Market shock model
US$0
1.420b/day
Oil price shock, shipping congestion, war-risk pricing, flight disruption, and wider spillover across trade.
Signal streams
Brent shock baseline
US$71.32 to US$119.50
Flight disruption
37,000+ cancellations
Shipping stress
200+ ships at anchor
U.S. direct cost anchor
US$3.7b first 100 hours
Dashboard assumptions
USAUS$0.888b/day
IranUS$0.540b/day
Rest of worldUS$1.420b/day
Total scenarioUS$2.848b/day
ModeReal-time accumulation